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Achtung: die Nachricht von der US Marshall Auktion über 50K Bitcoin berücksichtigen (gibt erhöhte Unruhe und damit erhöhte Volatilität

 

 

Cryptocurrency Trading News: Bitcoin Showing Neutral-Bearish Movements

http://www.forexminute.com/bitcoin/cryptocurrency-trading-news-bitcoin-showing-neutral-bearish-movements-49992

 

ForexMinute.com – After sleeping through the Sunday, the trading volume picked up a little at the start of another week at the cryptocurrency market. Both Bitcoin and Litecoin stayed intact on their respective support levels and preferred to trade sideways in the absence of any major bullish and bearish attempts.

 

As for the other coins, they continued to be a safe haven for short-term profiteers. Almost each one of them rose impressively over the last 24 hours, with Darkcoin & NXT jumping over 2%, and Dogecoin and Peercoin around 1%. The maximum surge however belonged to Counterparty, which rose around 9% over the last 24 hours.

In the meantime, cryptocurrencies continued to be the target of new government rulings, the latest one being from Australia where regulators introduced a new rule in which welfare applicants will be required to declare their Bitcoin assets. It is though not clear how this will going to cut slacks from someone’s pension, but it surely seems that there will be some consideration like this in the future.

BTC/USD

CTN11.1-1024x609.jpg

The BTC/USD opened at 377 during the 11/16 trading session, after finding a strong support level at 369 the previous day. There were some bullish attempts to provoke the price upwards in initial hours, but the presence of an equally strong bearish sentiment kept the price near the moving average. After trading sideways for the entire day, the BTC/USD encountered some buying interest only in the end when price picked momentum and closed in an overbought territory, at around 399.

 

During today’s trading session, the price continued to stay above the near term moving averages on hourly charts, indicating two scenario. Either there can be a strong upward momentum in next few hours if the market experiences strong buying from bulls’ side;

 

or there can be a major decline as the 400-mark may act as a psychological resistance level. The market then has to rely on its previous strong support level of 369-370. If the price crosses below this support, it will open a long-term bearish channel for BTC/USD, this time targeting the previous month’s support of 318-320.

 

If the first scenario fits, then the price might rise once again above the 400-mark to test 453 as the next resistance Level.

 

 

 

 

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Update zu folgender TA (Ichimoko cloud) https://www.coinforum.de/topic/2706-bitcoin-chartanalyse/?p=50889

 

 

UPDATE:
Right now is a time to stay bullish but be vigilant. The price is back in the cloud which is warning of a change of trend.
Price has held support and stayed in the cloud. Indicators like RSI point to staying bullish. Cloud Span A has crossed Cloud Span B in the cloud ahead which is a bullish sign as well.
 
2ckft1.png

The Standard Line(BLUE) has crossed through the cloud to the upside which should resolve price as bullish. Price is in a congestion zone and using caution right now is probably best as we wait to see which way price resolves itself.

 
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Bitcoin Trading- BTC/USD Technical Analysis, Nov 18: BTC back to bearish ways

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-trading-btcusd-technical-analysis-nov-18-btc-back-to-bearish-ways/

 

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has returned to its bearish ways since climbing back above $400 earlier this week. It has lost as much as 10% from this peak, currently trading at $373 on BTC-e.

$405 is shaping up as somewhat of a barrier to further sustainable advances. In terms of support, $365 is key if BTC doesn’t want to complete the head and shoulders pattern.

DCMagnates_btce_btc_usd-6.png

Volume continues to be slightly above average, with about 500 BTC switching hands per hour.

BTC continues to hover about 3% higher than its 50-day moving average (MA), which has flattened around $360 since BTC’s latest foray above the mark 10 days ago.

This makes the low $360’s an especially important support point. Should it be broken, a new stage of decline back into the low $300’s is likely.

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Bitcoin Flat After Midday Reversal

http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2014/11/19/bitcoin-flat-midday-reversal/

By Petar Kotevski on Nov 19, 2014 02:34:50 GMT

 

 

Bitcoin is trading flat after a midday reversal sapped the strength of the morning rally. After opening at $373.19, BTC/USD had a short-lived spike to $368 but soon after a rally took prices to a daily high of $386.34. From here however, the reversal brought bitcoin back down to $374 per coin on BTC-E. As usual prices are slightly higher on OKCoin at $378 and BitStamp at $379. Here’s a 1 hour chart of today’s price action on BTC-E.

nov19.png

Like we mentioned in our daily roundup yesterday, the US Marshall announced a new bitcoin auction for 50,000 coins. In that article we also showed what happened during the previous action of 29,600 BTC back in June, worth a look if you haven’t read it. Part of the terms of the auction is that you have to post a deposit guarantee of $100,000 for round 1 and $150,000 for round 2. Similarly to what happened in the previous auction, Barry Silbert, founder of both SecondMarket and the BitcoinTrust, is organizing a syndicate that will allow smaller buyers to participate in the auction. The initial announcement was posted on his Twitter account, more details will come later.

 

Bitcoin Black Friday is fast approaching! According to bitcoin payment processor BitPay, last year the event lead to 6,296 bitcoin transactions, up from only 99 transactions the year prior. BitPay processed over 6 million USD in those 24 hours. The company hyped up the coming event on its blog, promising that this year’s Black Friday will be even bigger.

But it’s important to remember that last year Black Friday occurred during a massive rally in bitcoin prices. During November 2013, BTC/USD moved up from $196 to over $1000 per coin. While there is limited research of this, it appears that bitcoiners like to spend their BTC during phases of price appreciation.

The situation now is completely different. Despite the limited price gains during the last few weeks, we are currently in the midst of a year long down move for bitcoin.

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Bitcoin Price Rally Resumes , oder besser “Bitcoin Price Rally Basing”

https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/bitcoin-price-rally-resumes/

Updated: November 18, 2014 at 7:16 pm CET.

The Bitcoin price rally is set to resume after a deep correction during the past days. The correction may still pull price down but only marginally.

Analysis explores the state of trend and considers upside price targets as well as what to expect in the coming days.

 

Writer’s Note: This article’s title may be better worded as “Bitcoin Price Rally Basing” to acknowledge the base building phase now in progress. However, the title was set at the time of publication and cannot be changed (after the fact) due to SEO considerations.

 

Bitcoin Price Rally

Time of analysis: 08h00 UTC

Asian Session

The Bitcoin price correction retraced 62% of the advance that began in early November. The correction ran deep, and some Bitcoin chart analysts began publishing charts accompanied by opinions that the bear market is back. This analyst disagrees. Although the consolidation may still draw price marginally lower, a new decline low for 2014 is unlikely and Bitcoin could soon see the next waves of its most spectacular rally yet.

 

Bitstamp 4-Hourly Chart

Selection_557.png

The Bitcoin price had surged to a high of $453.92 (Bitstamp) before correcting to $369 over the weekend. The correction is a Fibonacci 0.618 ratio and gives us reason to believe that at least three more waves will drive price to higher highs. Once the current wave of advance has hit a high near $500, $600 or $680, we’ll assess whether the largest degree of trend is set to continue to a new all time high.

 

Last week another chart indicator, the 100-period moving average, was introduced because of its significance in the Bitcoin price chart. This moving average (MA) is annotated in orange. Price is currently above both the 100MA and the 200MA (red) in the 4-hour chart – one of the hallmarks of an advancing trend.

The positions of the 20MA and 200MA on today’s daily candle chart are indicated with dashed horizontal lines – correspondingly annotated in green and red. The daily 20MA is at $363; the daily 200MA is at $499, and the daily 100MA (not shown) is at $419. On the daily chart price is, therefore, still below its 100 and 200 period moving averages. Until price action is established above these, we do not have confirmation of advance at the largest degree of trend. For this reason the wave labels A/1, B/2 and C/3 are used to indicate that the entire wave structure since the low of 5 October 2014 may be a corrective component of the past 11 months’ decline.

Fibonacci extension projections drawn from the last two waves of advance show the immediate targets at $506 and $530, as well as a high probability target in the vicinity of the previous high near $675. Advancing price action should consolidate around $500 due to the overlap of the daily 200MA as well as the 1.618 Fib extension in this region. If price action shows signs of continuation of the advance then $600 (2.618 Fib extension of wave A/1) and $675 (2.618 Fib extension of the last advancing wave) comes into focus and the wave label C/3 would move accordingly.

The following two BTC-e charts show interesting examples of characteristic features of the Bitcoin price chart.

BTC-e Hourly Chart (compiled Monday 17 Nov)

Selection_554.png

Sometimes the corrective price action during an advancing Bitcoin price wave respects the perimeter of one or more circles. Had I presented this analysis earlier I would have postulated that price may advance rapidly (from the point where the 20MA crosses the 100MA) up through the circle and then exit at the top right (north-eastern) segment of the perimeter at the pink dot. This kind of action occurred twice during the advance of May 2014.

However, as price action developed the south-eastern segment was used as an exit point from the circle perimeter as the market chose to engage in base building before the next wave of advance.

Before moving on, take note of how the wave action has geared one degree higher as evidenced by the size of the price candles since advance began. At a higher wave degree price action can be expected to be more volatile and to unfold more rapidly than in the past.

Here is a close-up of the basing wave action shown in the 5-minute candle BTC-e chart:

BTC-e 5-Minute Chart

Selection_556.png

At labels a-b price action exited the circle perimeter that had contained trade for five days. The wave down retraced about 80% of the previous wave up, and the wave labels reflect the count for waves i and ii of a larger five waves of advance. Should these be the final waves before a terminal low then the count will be invalidated and the process start again.

Notice the strict consistency of internal Fib ratios. This has been a characteristic of the Bitcoin chart since its inception and the only time when it loses relevance is during the thick of advance when exuberance distorts wave shape to the upside and desperate profit taking causes corrections to similarly overshoot Fib ratios.

During base building and sideways correction, the calm and considered mode of trade makes the Fib extension tool a valuable means of determining price targets.

Bitstamp Hourly Chart

Selection_559.png

Finally, an hourly Bitstamp chart showing the to-the-pip precision with which the weekend’s decline hit the .618 Fibonacci retracement level, as well as a significant confluence of moving averages. Additional lows at the .76 ($350) and .89 ($333) Fib retracement levels may be targeted although this remains to be seen.

The basing process may see the MAs continue their helix-like dance until they align around the same price level. Once the green 20MA rises from such a configuration, followed by the 100MA and then the 200MA – this is the time to hit the Bitcoin market with everything you’ve got! Money management and Trading rules considered, of course.

 

Summary

The Bitcoin price chart appears to be engaged in the basing phase of the next wave of advance. The primary price target of advance is between $480 and $506, depending on your exchange (BTC-e often prints a lower price at wave tops).

 

Consolidation prior to the next leg of advance could draw price to $350 or $333 as the final lows.

 

Once price advances and the target near $500 is achieved, price may seek a higher target. If it does then the next Fib extension targets are at $600 and $675 (BTC-e $667)

Critical chart indicators, throughout, are the 20-period moving average (20MA) as well as the 200-period moving average (200MA). In the daily chart, they serve to confirm the largest degree of trend.

 

Price must consistently trade above both the 20MA and 200MA on the daily chart for a larger advance to be confirmed. At the 4-hour timeframe, the moving averages have similar significance, and price is currently trading above the 4-hour 200MA.

At lower timeframes – hourly, 15-minute, etc. – the compression and expansion of moving averages serve as barometers of volatility (much like Bollinger Bands and MACD).

Watch for MA compression to herald the start of an advancing wave.

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@segeln

 

wie wäre es eigentlich mal mit ner eigenen meinung und nicht nur copy+paste?

 

ich fasse mal deine heutigen posts zusammen: "...bullish...bearish...flat...rally..."  - fehlt noch was? glaube nicht - interessanter wäre doch mal ein kommentar mit begründung welche ansicht deiner entspricht usw

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@Boardfreak

ich hatte ganz zu Anfang geschrieben, dass ich selber kein TA machen kann. Dazu bedarf es jahrelanger Erfahrung. Ich kann nur TA lesen und verstehen.

Du hast richtig erkannt, zur Zeit sind sich die TA nicht einig.

 

Meine Meinung:

Zunächst zu bärisch: der Kurs ist sehr niedrig, was ich im übrigen bereits für die nächsten 6 Monate im Prognose Thread am 1. November geschrieben hatte.

https://www.coinforum.de/topic/1843-prognose/?p=49716

Daher wird fundamental sich erst  in 6 Monaten etwas ändern, vermutlich zum Positiven.

Bis dahin eher ein niedriges Kursniveau.

just my 2 Cents

 

Daher halte ich Shorts für sehr gefährlich. Denn ich glaube nicht ,dass wir unter 300 $ gehen werden.

 

Bullish: sehe ich im Moment kein großes Potential.

 

Die momentan sehr unterschiedlichen TA zeigen die Unsicherheit im Markt

 

Fazit: abwarten

 

P.S. dieser Thread ist dazu da, sich aufgrund der verschiedenen TA-Posts eine eigene Meinung zu bilden.

ZB. über den Bitcoin Black Friday:

Bitcoin Black Friday is fast approaching! According to bitcoin payment processor BitPay, last year the event lead to 6,296 bitcoin transactions, up from only 99 transactions the year prior. BitPay processed over 6 million USD in those 24 hours. The company hyped up the coming event on its blog, promising that this year’s Black Friday will be even bigger.

But it’s important to remember that last year Black Friday occurred during a massive rally in bitcoin prices. During November 2013, BTC/USD moved up from $196 to over $1000 per coin. While there is limited research of this, it appears that bitcoiners like to spend their BTC during phases of price appreciation.

The situation now is completely different. Despite the limited price gains during the last few weeks, we are currently in the midst of a year long down move for bitcoin.

 

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Bitcoin Trading- BTC/USD Technical Analysis, Nov 20: BTC turns sharply lower, breaks $360

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-trading-btcusd-technical-analysis-nov-20-btc-turns-sharply-lower-breaks-360/

 

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has turned sharply lower in the past hour, losing as much 6% to $354 on BTC-e. It is currently trading at $362.

The break below $360 continues the head and shoulders pattern that had been in formation. $360 had been the final point of support before the pattern was confirmed. It was assessed that the emergence of such a pattern will likely lead to further declines into the low $300’s during the short-intermediate term.

DCMagnates_btce_btc_usd-7.png

The sheer momentum of the drop, which has been accompanied by a volume spike of 2600 BTC (~$962,000), indicates that it may take at a few hours before until solid ground is discovered.

The sudden drop has also sent BTC back below its 50-day moving average (MA), which also at $360, underscored the significance of the support level. BTC spent 12 days above the mark after not having traded in the range since late July when prices were in the low $600’s

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Bitcoin Nears Crucial Support at $350

http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2014/11/20/bitcoin-nears-crucial-support-350/

 

By Petar Kotevski on Nov 20, 2014 07:32:04 GMT

 

Bitcoin is trading close to the crucial support area at $350 today. The break of $365 earlier in the day lead to quick losses to $353 per coin. We are currently quoted at $357.98 on BTC-E, compared to $360 on OKCoin and $361 on BitStamp. Here’s a 1 hour chart of the last few days of price action.

nov20.png

The $345-$350 support area is important because a clean break lower would mean a technical end to the rally, although to be fair, the momentum has been to the downside since the sharp reversal on November 13th. The selling intensified after the US Marshall announced a second bitcoin auction on November 17th.

After the first auction announcement back in June, BTC prices fell for 2.5 days before bottoming out at $546.33 on June 14th. We are now in the third day since the auction announcement.  If prices plan to bottom out, there is no better place for it then at $350. This area is important support, turned into resistance and now turned back into support.

A break lower however would almost certainly mean an end to the rally.

Whether the move below $345 sparks a new downtrend remains to be seen. A break below the swing lot at $319 would be more convincing. Below $319, the $300 round figure may provide some support, followed by the October 5th swing low at $285. Lower still, the $266 spike high will likely be strong support to falling prices.

 

On the upside, we have the $400-$408 resistance area. A move above may lead to gains toward $450. But to bring new life into the rally, BTC/USD needs to take out the November 13th swing high at $454.

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Bitcoin and Litecoin Failing Their Tests of Support

http://www.fxpips.com/bitcoin-litecoin-failing-tests-support/

 

Cryptocurrencies bitcoin and litecoin have been consolidating in October and November. However, as we get into the 11/20 session, both virtual currencies are failing to hold at some key support factors, showing that there is still bearish bias.

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 4H Chart
Screenshot_112014_112702_AM.jpg
(click to enlarge)

Support Broken: After a rally from 318 to 455 in November, price has retreated sharply. Today, price has fallen below November’s rising speedline, and below the cluster of 200-, 100-, and 50-period simple moving averages (SMAs). The 4H RSI has also broken below 40 showing loss of the bullish momentum shown in the first half of the month.

At this point, pressure is back towards the 318 low with risk of breaking down towards the 285 low on the year.

 

At this point, a break above 390 will be needed to keep the neutral stance going. If price does push back above 390, the market will be neutral with short-term upside risk towards the 440-455 highs.

 

Otherwise, with price holding below 390, bitcoin looks like it has revived the bearish Outlook.

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Cryptocurrency Trading News: Bitcoin, Litecoin Attempting to Bounce Back

http://www.forexminute.com/bitcoin/cryptocurrency-trading-news-bitcoin-litecoin-attempting-bounce-back-50371

 

ForexMinute.com – Last 24 hours in the cryptocurrency market have been quite poor as both Bitcoin and Litecoin continued on their downtrend while trying to break below their respective support walls of $350 and $3.45. The pessimistic sentiment in the Bitcoin and Litecoin market was further reflected down in the charts other altcoins, mainly Peercoin and Darkcoin which fell around 7 and 4% over the last 24 hours, respectively.

On the bright side, BitShares was met with a bullish sentiment as it rose by 1.5% within the same time span, alongside Dogecoin which also displayed some stability as it advanced sideways.

BTC/USD

CTN15.1-1024x649.jpg

After an impressively rally from 320 to 353 in October, price has retreated sharply in November. As we can see the BTC/USD 4H BitStamp Chart, the neutral sentiment was transformed to bearish after facing a huge drop during the 4th UTC hour, where price fell from 375 to 361 within few hours. The RSI meanwhile dipped below 40, further indicating a slowdown of the bullish momentum. The BTC/USD however was supported around the 350-level.

 

Today, the price is still attempting to start another rally upward on hourly charts. The RSI however is near 30 on 4H, giving a sold impression of an upcoming bearish outlook. Here the 350-level can play a major role for both sides. If the price is able to break through this line, then the market will enter into a near-term bearish trend, sighting 320-330 as the next support level.

In order to pullback from the prevailing bearish sentiment, the bulls might need to at least break above the support-turned-resistance level of 365 to ensure a short-term bullish correction. Meanwhile, a break above 390 will ensure the rally to be in a long run.

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Bitcoin Down But Blockstream May Help

http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-technical-analysis/2014/11/Bitcoin-Down-But-Blockstream-May-Help/37023?ab=fxamb1&utm_expid=3673405-7.v9TXkD4lS1aCSQjYnNh02w.1&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailyforex.com%2Fforex-technical-analysis%2Fbitcoin-forecast%2Fpage-1%3Fab%3Dfxamb1

 

Technical Analysis

Bitcoin is continuing its downwards trend and is trading in a very narrow range between $315.60 and $416.92 and it is on the edge of 20-Day EMA of $377.50. Going forward, it will be interesting to see if it finds support at lower levels as buyers continue to stay away from the crypto-currency as of now.

Actionable Insight:

Sell Bitcoin below $374 for target of $366, $358 with a stop-loss of $378

nov2014_btcusd_yesop.png

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Bitcoin and Litecoin Failing Their Tests of Support

http://www.fxpips.com/bitcoin-litecoin-failing-tests-support/

Cryptocurrencies bitcoin and litecoin have been consolidating in October and November. However, as we get into the 11/20 session, both virtual currencies are failing to hold at some key support factors, showing that there is still bearish bias.

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 4H Chart
Screenshot_112014_112702_AM.jpg
(click to enlarge)

Support Broken: After a rally from 318 to 455 in November, price has retreated sharply. Today, price has fallen below November’s rising speedline, and below the cluster of 200-, 100-, and 50-period simple moving averages (SMAs). The 4H RSI has also broken below 40 showing loss of the bullish momentum shown in the first half of the month.

At this point, pressure is back towards the 318 low with risk of breaking down towards the 285 low on the year.

 

At this point, a break above 390 will be needed to keep the neutral stance going. If price does push back above 390, the market will be neutral with short-term upside risk towards the 440-455 highs.

 

Otherwise, with price holding below 390, bitcoin looks like it has revived the bearish Outlook.

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@segeln

 

wie wäre es eigentlich mal mit ner eigenen meinung und nicht nur copy+paste?

 

 

Schön ,von jemand an eine eigene Meinung erinnert zu werden , wenn  dieser selber noch nicht mal meine Meinung vom 1.November gelesen hat

 

Prima, dass Du Deine eigene Meinung so ausgedrückt hast

ich melke zur not bis die kuh tot umkippt -

 

Das ist klassisches Trader Gefasel, die asiatischen Börsen handeln genau danach.

Jeder sollte alarmiert sein ob dieser Gedanken, denn damit wären Bitcoiner selbst die größte Gefahr für Bitcoin

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Schön ,von jemand an eine eigene Meinung erinnert zu werden , wenn  dieser selber noch nicht mal meine Meinung vom 1.November gelesen hat

 

Prima, dass Du Deine eigene Meinung so ausgedrückt hast

Das ist klassisches Trader Gefasel, die asiatischen Börsen handeln genau danach.

Jeder sollte alarmiert sein ob dieser Gedanken, denn damit wären Bitcoiner selbst die größte Gefahr für Bitcoin

sry, aber das sind keine echten bitcoiner -> das sind bitcoin zocker... die hast du aber überall....

bitcoiner haben sicher auch interesse am kurs etc. sind aber viel mehr darauf bedacht -> den btc zu fördern...

 

hat auch ganz nebenbei bisle was mit lebenseinstellung zu tun....

 

da war doch mal dieses märchen mit der schüssel die sich immer wieder aufgefüllt hat.... ich komm grad nicht auf den namen...

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sry, aber das sind keine echten bitcoiner -> das sind bitcoin zocker... die hast du aber überall....

bitcoiner haben sicher auch interesse am kurs etc. sind aber viel mehr darauf bedacht -> den btc zu fördern...

 

Ja klar, aber ich glaube, Du hast auch verstanden, was ich meine. Denn im Moment werden wir von Tradern belabert, Hodler werden verhöhnt (umgekehrt passiert das nicht) und ich möchte einfach nicht, dass Newcomer vom Gedankengut der Trader infiziert werden.

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Ja klar, aber ich glaube, Du hast auch verstanden, was ich meine. Denn im Moment werden wir von Tradern belabert, Hodler werden verhöhnt (umgekehrt passiert das nicht) und ich möchte einfach nicht, dass Newcomer vom Gedankengut der Trader infiziert werden.

hehe.... du meinst diesen thread hier im forum der früher mal "Prognose" hieß ? -> ich meine da war mal sowas -> die haben aber das schild an der tür geändert -> "Akademie für Bitcoin-Zocker" grusel grusel....

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@analyse segeln

 

"...wenn dieser selber noch nicht mal meine Meinung vom 1.November gelesen hat..." - natürlich habe ich die gelesen - aber wenn du am 1. schon ne kurzfristige analyse für 2 wochen später machen kannst dann lass es mich wissen - ich zumindest kann nicht in die zukunft schauen

 

"...denn damit wären Bitcoiner selbst die größte Gefahr für Bitcoin..." - wenn bitcoin keine trader aushält obwohl er unreguliert weltweit 24h am tag 365 tage im jahr gehandelt wird dann würde ich ma schnell auf sell drücken an deiner stelle - btw: ihr hodler seid doch auch selbst deiner meinung nach trader - nur der horizont ist weiter - und die kuh ist derzeit nicht der bitcoin sondern sein umfeld - ich hab im loop das premium von gox ausgenutzt bis die auszahlungen viel länger dauerten und das premium noch weiter stieg - hätte vielleicht noch 1 bis 2 mal geklappt aber wir wissen alle was dann passiert ist - derzeit ist meine kuh der swapmarkt auf finex - keiner weiss wie lang der noch lebt

 

"...was ich meine. Denn im Moment werden wir von Tradern belabert, Hodler werden verhöhnt (umgekehrt passiert das nicht) und ich möchte einfach nicht, dass Newcomer vom Gedankengut der Trader infiziert werden..." - ihr hodler hab die noobs seit fast einem jahr in verluste gequatscht - warum ratet ihr denen nicht zu warten bis sich irgendwas ausgebildet hat was man als boden interpretieren könnte? warum immer wieder ins fallende messer greifen obwohl man eh fast nie den boden exakt erwischen wird? zur erinnerung: ein merkmal eines potentiellen bodens ist dass der preis seitdem gestiegen ist

 

und die fragen aller fragen: warum macht ein hodler einen thread mit analysen für trader und verteufelt zugleich letztere? wenn das alles gift in deinen augen für den bitcoin ist dann verbreite doch keine derartigen analysen hier inflationär im forum in "deinem" thread

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@Boardfreak

ich bitte höflichst, von weiteren, an mich gerichteten, posts abzusehen.

Ansonsten sehe ich mich genötigt, der Community die Wahrheit Deiner Aussage zu Deinem letzten Long "(@ segeln long läuft gut") gestern

 zu zeigen

Mfg

segeln

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@Boardfreak

ich bitte höflichst, von weiteren, an mich gerichteten, posts abzusehen.

Ansonsten sehe ich mich genötigt, der Community die Wahrheit Deiner Aussage zu Deinem letzten Long "(@ segeln long läuft gut") gestern

 zu zeigen

Mfg

segeln

ich denke das kann die community auch so erfahren -> machmal ist es sogar besser... ;)

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@board:

 

Das mit den Hodlern = Trader nur mit laaaaaaangen Zyklen, das war ich.

 

Btt: Als Hodler find ich das schon OK, wenn Segeln hier lediglich alle Chartanalysen, deren er habhaft werden kann, hier einstellt. Hilft zumindest Neueinsteigern, sich zu orientieren und nicht jeder Einzelmeinung nachzulaufen, ohne ggf. Alternativen zu bedenken. Einsteiger, die Feuer und Flamme für eine Sache sind, haben Scheuklappen auf, sehen eine Meldung, die einen bullischen Kursverlauf vertritt und kaufen als wenn es kein Morgen gibt. Geht der Kurs dann runter ist das Gejammer groß.

 

Hätten sie hier die Posts gelesen, hätten sie eine vielschichtigere Sichtweise haben können und wären vielleicht vorsichtiger an die Sache rangegangen.

 

Perfekt wäre es natürlich, wenn die trader sich zu den geposteten Chartanalysen äußern würden. Ohne dass die Hodler auf negative Aussagen mit Reaktionen wie "Ihr macht den Bitcoin zu schlecht oder ganz kaputt" und die Trader akzeptieren, dass wir Hodler fast alles durch die rosa Brille betrachten (aber vielleicht irgendwann aufgrund Eurer Analysen doch mal mit 1-2 Bitcoins anfangen die Wellen zu reiten...).

Bearbeitet von Gargelkark
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Bitcoin Barely Changed, Two Price Catalysts Next Week

 http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2014/11/21/bitcoin-barely-changed-two-possible-price-catalysts/#sthash.sitAd58u.dpuf

 

 

By Petar Kotevski on Nov 21, 2014 06:51:14 GMT

 

  • Bitcoin is trading barely changed after a brief excursion earlier in the day pushed prices below the $350 mark. The move encountered little resistance by buyers and soon BTC/USD was quoted at $339.66. Bitcoin rebounded from the lows and we are currently trading at $352.22, just $2 dollars below the daily open on BTC-E. As usual, prices are slightly higher on OKCoin at $353 and BitStamp at $357. Here’s a 15 minute chart of today’s V-shaped price action.

nov21.png

While the move below $345 didn’t result in a breakdown, it’s hard to see bitcoin gaining ground from here, barring any external news shocks.

 

Fortunately for traders, next week will have two big news events that may act as price catalysts.

 

First, the deadline for the second bitcoin auction is December 1st. As the date gets closer, we could see rumors about the auction bids and the price per coin offered. During the last auction in June, the reversal in BTC prices started well before the deadline date as news articles and prediction markets pointed to a bullish auction.

 

The second possible catalyst is on November 28th, Bitcoin Black Friday. The event will likely result in bitcoin sales of several million USD. Because most merchants don’t hold BTC due to the volatility risk, it is expected that they will then turn around and sell the bitcoins.

However, last year’s event didn’t result in an immediate sell-off in BTC prices. Instead, bitcoin prices peaked on November 30th and fell during December of 2013.

 

Last year’s Black Friday also occurred in the midst of a major bitcoin rally, so take this hypothesis with a grain of salt.

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Update zur Ichimoku cloud TA

Price has penetrated into the cloud and is now stuck in it.
It has tested support and held thus far.

 

But it is a time to be cautious and the evidence is leaning bearish. If we break through support in the 350-357 zone. Time to short it.

 

Other indicators need to improve or it looks like a false breakout occurred.

 

Now is a time to be vigilant.

 

20z65qc.png

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