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Bitcoin-Chartanalyse


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So langsam wird der Umzugsstress weniger, sodass ich mit TA wieder beginnen kann.

Der Support vom April 2013 ist ja "tot".

Der Grundtrend von 2011 ist zur Zeit auch gebrochen, vielleicht "berappelt" er sich ja wieder und es war ein "false breakout"

Somit sind Langzeit TA nicht mehr aktuell und es werden Trader TA (Kurz-bis mittel-zeit) geposted.

 

Ich hoffe, ab morgen damit zu beginnen.

 

Folgende Post-Struktur:

 

Überschrift (meist Englisch) mit Link

"Im Artikel werden folgende bullische Aussagen gemacht": Originalzitat in grün

"Im Artikel werden folgende bärische Aussagen gemacht": Originalzitat in rot

 

Die des Englischen Mächtigen können dann im Überschriftslink den ganzen Artikel lesen

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Bitcoin Price Still in a Bearish Environment

Jan 20, 2015 - 10:02 PM GMT

By: Mike_McAra

http://www.marketoracle.cn/Article49087.html

 

Bullische Aussagen in dieser TA:

On the long-term BTC-e chart, we saw Bitcoin on the move up but the move itself was relatively weak. There was no move above any trend lines visible on the chart. Bitcoin stayed above $200 (dashed red line in the chart) but the move was not very strong.

 

 

Bärische Aussagen in dieser TA:

Today, the move has been down but the volume hasn't been really strong. All of this seems to suggest that the recent move has already run out of steam. This points to lower Bitcoin prices in the weeks to come but the entry point for a short trade doesn't seem to be here just now since the fact that Bitcoin has largely remained above $200. As such, the situation is still unclear enough, in our opinion, to open any speculative positions in the market.

 

Resume des Autors:

 

Summing up, we don't support any short-term positions at the Moment.

 

Trading position (short-term, our opinion): no positions.

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Bitcoin Analysis: Week of Jan 19 (Miami Conference)

by Tone Vays @ 2015-01-20 11:42 AM

http://cointelegraph.com/news/113325/bitcoin-analysis-week-of-jan-19-miami-conference

folgende bärische Aussagen in der TA:

Bearish: Since our primary case is bullish, we are keeping an eye on the opposite move. The prices have hung around the US$190-200 zone long enough that we can consider that area our new line in the sand, a break of this zone at this point will most likely retest the lows in the US$150 area.

 

folgende bullische Aussage in der TA:

Bullish: Unless some major EU bank collapses next week sending half of Europe’s wealth into bitcoins, don’t expect much, and US$250 would be a nice start. A break above that takes us to the 50-day SMA, which is quickly moving down but currently stands at US$290.

 

 Folgendes Resume:

 
Conclusion

We are turning short term Bullish here and are looking for prices to rise back to the vicinity of the breakdown level of US$250. When we get there, the most likely outcome would be more downside and if this downside has a quick reversal above US$200 we might be able to finally call the low

 

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Bitcoin Price Stabilizes around $210 amid Slowdown in Crypto Trading Volume

By Leon Pick on

 

January 21, 2015

in Trading

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-price-stabilizes-around-210-amid-slowdown-in-crypto-trading-volume/

 

eine allgemeine Aussage ist dort folgende:

The best trading strategy right now is simply to wait on the sidelines. If bitcoin options were widely available, the butterfly spread would potentially be a good choice (if the coming move is anticipated to be newsworthy).

 

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Bitcoin price is choppy. Waiting for breakout.

Posted by ibankbitcoins on Tuesday, 20 January 2015

http://www.ibankbitcoins.com/

Bullische Aussage dort:

We retested the 220 area like 10 times already and not broken! With each retest, the pullback is minor. That is why I am bullish. If bitcoin makes a lower low on the hourly, I would probably change my mind about the prospect of a bullish move.

 

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Hallo,

 

so passt der Thread. Ich würde tatsächlich soweit gehen, dir auch das Posten von Bildern zu gestatten, sofern du hinzufügst: Dieser Chart unterstreicht die bärische Haltung oder so.

 

Dein Urheberrechts-Taliban

Mannomann,das sollte doch unter uns bleiben, dass Du der Urheberechts-Taliban bist. :wub:  :wub:  :P  :P

Mit den TA-Bildern ist o.k.

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Um das Thema mal zu einem Ende zu bringen, segeln, ich würde mir wünschen, dass du die Texte NICHT unterstreichst. Erstens macht man das im Internet nur mit Verlinkungen, und zweitens ist ja eh schon alles fett und groß geschrieben. :)

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Bitcoin price is advancing in intermittent surges punctuated by hesitant consolidations.

https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/market-trading-back-bitcoin-value/

Time of analysis: 14h00 UTC

 

Hauptsächlich eine bullischeTA,siehe Zitat. Nur die zwischenzeitliche Korrektur ist etwas bärisch:

Summary

Bitcoin price is climbing toward $260 (Bitfinex, BTCe) and $277 (Bitstamp) and 1,550 CNY (BTC-China) in wave action that is typical of this price chart’s advancing mode.

Once the target is hit, we can reassess the next move. An intermediate correction is expected in the meantime – either near the $260 price level or else near $240 prior to the final wave to target. Watch your 15-minute RSI indicator for divergence to anticipate approaching wave tops.

Buying volume is on the up at Bitfinex.

 

 

 

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Bitcoin Breaks Resistance to 1-Week High on Renewed Volume

By Leon Pick on

 

January 22, 2015

in Trading

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-breaks-resistance-to-1-week-high-on-renewed-volume/

 

Auch hier optimistische Analyse, siehe Zitat:

 

It is possible that renewed optimism has entered the marketplace following Coinbase’s record-breaking funding round, which brought major financial players into the Bitcoin world. Immediately after the announcement, prices stirred but continued to flatline for another 24 hours.

 

Still, prices remain closer to those lows than to where they started off in 2015, and are down by over 25% year-to-date. A retracement of more than half has become the norm during the past several downturns, so the current uptick is in order.

 

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Hierauf beruht die TA und das Erkennen von wiederkehrenden pattern/Formationen::

"There is nothing new in ... speculation. What has happened in the past will happen again, and again, and again. This is because human nature does not change, and it is human emotion, solidly build into human nature, that always gets in the way of human intelligence. Of this I am sure." -Jesse Livermore

 

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Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis for 22/1/2015

By Dr Tamer Sameeh January 22, 2015 15:38

http://newsbtc.com/2015/01/22/bitcoin-price-technical-analysis-2112015-2/

Folgende bullische Aussagen werden dort gemacht:

Dazu wird ein mir bislang unbekannter Indikator gezeigt, "Williams Alligator"

 

By plotting the “William’s Alligator” indicator on the 4 hour Bitfinex BTC/USD charts from tradingview.com (look at the below chart), we can observe new bullish signals. The Alligator indicator is laid out in a pattern that confirms a bullish uptrend:

  • The blue line (jaws of the alligator) is at the bottom.
  • The red line (teeth of the alligator) is in the middle.
  • The green line (lips of the alligator) is on the top
  •  

 

22.1.2015-11.png

 

Die TA kommt zu folgendem Schluss:

To sum up, our technical analysis proves that bitcoin price is rising towards the $256 resistance line according to the Fibonacci retracement fan lines. The price seems to increase during 4-6 hours bursts which are followed by longer periods of sideways price movement. After testing the $256 resistance line, reassessment is required to determine whether or not the new bullish trend will continue.

 

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Bitcoin Breaks $226 but Little Follow-through

By Petar Kotevski on Jan 22, 2015 08:21:38 GMT -

 http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2015/01/22/bitcoin-breaks-226-little-follow/#sthash.y6H6IRgN.dpuf

 

Es werden sehr verhaltene Kursprognosen gemacht, wie folgendes Zitat zeigt:

 

The relatively small rally after the breakout today is another reason to be extra cautious going forward. The medium and longterm BTC trend are down. A better level that has the potential to start a new rally upward is $266. A decisive break above here could open the way to the round $300 figure. On the downside, we find weak support at the low of the range near $190. But the key number to watch will be $162, the lowest low reached during the latest BTC foray lower. - 

 

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Cryptocurrency Trading News: Bitcoin on a Bull Run; Litecoin Improves

 

 

By Forexminute - Yashu Gola | Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency News, Litecoin |

 

Jan 22, 2015 6:02PM GMT

 

Auch hier eine letztlich unentschlossene, aber doch eher bärische TA, wie folgendes Zitat belegt:

These indicators overall suggests a near-term bullish bias in the market. For long term though, the sentiment is still bearish.

To reduce the overall bearish bias, the BTC/USD still needs to break above a series of resistance levels – 250, 27 and 300 to be specific. If the price crosses above the 320-mark, only when we can say that a bullish breakout is achieved.

Thus, the chances of a pullback is likely in the next few hours/days. The market will likely to attempt corrections any time soon, causing another drop towards the lower 200s. Thus, the 172-support will remain in sight.

 

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Bitcoin Price Advance Challenging Resistance at $235

This analysis is provided by xbt.social with a 3 hour delay.
 
Folgendes Resume wird dort gezogen:
 
Summary  

The extended sideways corrections being formed in the price chart are a symptom of market fear and uncertainty. Yet, price surges up eventually because the underlying driver of this advance is market psychology that wants to revert price to its mean after the traumatic decline.

During one of the upcoming advancing waves, many market participants are going to wake up and look at the chart and say “Hey, Bitcoin is going up!” and with the fear forgotten, they are going to pile into the advance. Fear becomes Hope.

The current wave is targeting $260 where a correction is expected.

 

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Bitcoin rebound might be nearing its end

By Mike McAra

January 23, 2015 • Reprints

http://www.resourceinvestor.com/2015/01/23/bitcoin-rebound-might-be-nearing-its-end?page=2

 

die bärische Situation klärt sich an der Kursmarke 250$:weiter down oder up?

On the longer-term chart, bitcoin just touched a possible trend line. Is this an important sign? It might become one, but we would first need to see bitcoin move above this level and possibly in the direction of $250 (solid green line). The lack of strong movement suggests that the steam might be out of the market. Since the trend seems to be down now, it is possible that following the current period of appreciation bitcoin will resume its move down.

$250 is, in our opinion, the all-important level to observe. bitcoin might stagnate or still move further up, but these moves would likely be followed by more depreciation. The situation is bearish, but not enough so to open speculative positions. 

 

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Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis for 23/1/2015: Increasing Highs

By Dr Tamer Sameeh January 23, 2015 15:55

http://newsbtc.com/2015/01/23/bitcoin-price-technical-analysis-for-2312015-increasing-highs/

 

Eine eher bullische Aussage:

 

It seems that the market is highly influenced by a general belief that bitcoin is recovering its value. A buying frenzy that will push the price above the $256 resistance is inevitable. Buying at $230 is likely to be profitable during the next 48 hours, with a take profit at $260 and a stop loss at $220.

 

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Bitcoin Rallies 4 Percent, EgoPay Ends Silence By Petar Kotevski on Jan 24, 2015 09:55:49 GMT

 http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2015/01/24/bitcoin-rallies-4-percent-egopay-ends-silence/#sthash.JheCw6jF.dpuf

Hier werden Kursmarken angegeben, die es zu überwinden gilt, falls ein Bull-Run kommen sollte: 

 

We have several potential resistance levels clustered above here, starting with the $250 round figure, followed by $260 and finally ending with $266. But the most important of the three will be $266. A stabilization above this important watermark could be the precursor to a sustainable rally higher. On the downside, the area we just broke out from ($226-$233) will likely provide some support going forward. Further down other levels you should keep an eye on include the $200 round figure, followed by the $192 swing low.

 

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