Bitcoin-Chartanalyse

[maxmuster]

http://img5.fotos-hochladen.net/uploads/btc21julie36koh80tj.jpg

Bei meiner "ex-potential", ist es auch die 610 $ bei Bitstamp.

Oder die 460$.

 

p.s. die 460 $, hat sich mittlerweile fast zur 490 $ verschoben.

Bearbeitet 21. Juli 2014 von maxmuster

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We’re going through the Flattest Stretch of Bitcoin Trading in Months: Is it biting into exchange profits?

http://dcmagnates.com/were-going-through-the-flattest-stretch-of-bitcoin-trading-in-months-is-it-biting-into-exchange-profits/

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Bitcoin Price Analysis – $590 Support Under Attack

http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/bitcoin-price-analysis-590-support-attack/2014/07/26

 

So what are the prospects going forward?

So, was sind die Perspektiven ?

Scenario A: Continuing Decline

Should price breach the $590 support level, we could expect continuing decline to existing support/resistance levels – some of them reinforced by Fibonacci extensions of the first declining wave – as projected on the following Chart:

Considering that Bitcoin price had (over a week ago) breached the long-term supporting trendline (dotted red diagonal), the current rate of decline is mild. Price is effectively in “free fall” territory, and the bears could aggressively assert decline, at any time and without much technical opposition.

Amongst the likely targets for the initial decline, the writer would, as always, favor those that coincide with Fibonacci levels 1.618 and 2.618. If $590 were to give way.

Szenario A:Weitergehender Abschwung
sollte der Kurs die 590 $ Unterstützungszone brechen, könnten wir einen weitergehenden Abschwung erwarten in bestehende Unterstützung/Widerstand-Bereiche. Einige davon sind verstärkt durch die FIBO Ausdehnungen der ersten Abwärtswelle-wie im folgenden Chart projiziert.
Unter Berücksichtigung dass der Kurs (vor über einer Woche) die Unterstützungslinie[ Rallybeschleunigung seit 2013 ] (gepunktete rote Diagonale) gebrochen hat,ist der Grad des Abschwungs mild. Der Kurs ist in der Tat im Gebiet des "freien Falls", und die Bären könnte sich aggressiv des Abschwungs bemächtigen, zu jeder Zeit und ohne technischen Widerstand.
Unter den wahrscheinlichen Zielen eines beginnenden Abschwungs, würde der Autor, wie immer, diejenigen favorisieren, die mit FIBO-Levels zusammenfallen: 1.618 [ 575 $ ]und 2.618.[525 $ ] Falls 590 $ fällt.  

Scenario B: Pull-back Before the Rally

A strong argument in favor of advance can be made from an Elliott Wave analysis of the chart. There are several examples of clean five-wave advances being printed subsequent to the April low near $340. Additionally, there is evidence that an advancing diagonal may be forming, due to the large degree of the intervening three-wave structures shown by the annotations

It seems inevitable that price should either

a) decline to one of the targets mentioned in Scenario A, or

resist decline below $590 and market participants slowly come round (via consolidation) to the realization that longer term trend is pointing upward

 

 

 

• Szenario B:Kurs-Rücksetzer vor der Rally
  Ein starkes Argument in Richtung Fortschritt entsteht aus der Elliott Wave Analyse des Charts. Es gibt verschiedene Beispiele von Welle 5 Fortschritten, die  dem Tief im April bei 340$ nachfolgend entstanden sind .Hinzukommt, dass es Anzeichen einer sich bildenden fortschreitenden Diagonale gibt,begründet durch den weiten Grad der dazwischengekommenen 3-Wellen Strukture, aufgezeigt bei den Anmerkungen a-b-c.
  Es scheint unausweichlich, dass der Kurs entweder
  a) runtergeht zu einer der Ziele,die im Szenario A erwähnt wurden,oder
  b.)einem  Abschwung unter 590 $ widersteht und die Markteilnehmer kommen  (über eine Konsolidierung) zur Überzeugung,dass der längere Zeit Trend aufwärts gerichtet ist
  •  

Bearbeitet 26. Juli 2014 von segeln

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Bitcoin falls further below $600 as technical selling weighs

http://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/bitcoin-falls-further-below-$600-as-technical-selling-weighs-298276

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis (BTC/USD): Prices Just Above $560 Support After Falling Below $600

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-technical-analysis-btcusd-prices-just-above-560-support-after-falling-below-600/

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Bitcoin Price Speculation – Lessons Learned From Trading Stocks

http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/bitcoin-price-speculation-lessons-learned-trading-stocks/2014/07/28

 

1. 70% – 90% of traders are losing Money

 

2. Prediction is impossible

 

3. Technical analysis is challenged

 

4. Arbitrage is risky in the Bitcoin world

 

5. News is not that important

Bearbeitet 28. Juli 2014 von segeln

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis (BTC/USD): Gap between BTC and 200-day moving average widens

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-technical-analysis-btcusd-gap-between-btc-and-200-day-moving-average-widens/

 

Right now, the $550-560 range seems to be a safe bet for mid-term support, from a purely technical perspective. This assumes no major unexpected fundamental drivers get in the way. Such drivers have been less frequent of late. Most developments, both good and bad, have been all but ignored by the BTC markets in recent weeks. The major exception is the 51% scare from mid-June, which set back prices by over 15%.

 

Bearbeitet 30. Juli 2014 von segeln

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Bitcoin Breaks $585, Hits New Monthly Low

http://www.forexnews.com/blog/2014/07/28/bitcoin-breaks-585-hits-new-monthly-high/

 

The next support for the crypto stands at the important $550 figure. This was the area where two previous declines were halted last month. The first try on June 14th took prices to a low of $546 but as the day was drawing to a close, bitcoin rallied to close at $562. Take number two on June 26th only managed to get to $555 before prices propelled higher and rallied almost 100 dollars in the next five days. Below $550, the round psychological $500 figure will support prices.

 

Bearbeitet 30. Juli 2014 von segeln

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis (BTC/USD): Stabilizing, 200-day moving average straddled

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-technical-analysis-btcusd-stabilizing-200-day-moving-average-straddled/

 

 

The pair [bTC/USD] has thus adhered to its $550 support level, which hasn’t been broken since prior to the May rally.

Also encouraging is its temporary return back above its 200-day moving average (MA), which has now declined to $585. The gap between its traded price and MA had widened last week, but the recent price stabilization has brought the two within striking distance. The resumption of selling during the past 12h, however, pushed BTC/USD to about 1.5% below this key level.

 

Bearbeitet 3. August 2014 von segeln

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Bullish or Bearish: Bitcoin Price, Where Yer Going?

http://coinstackr.com/bullish-or-bearish-bitcoin-price-where-yer-going-17/1389/

 

 

Exec Summary

• The long-term upchannel has broken, it was valid for more than 1.5 years
• Prices are now moving sideways
• Trading the range short-term is an option

 

•  

 

Trading Ideas

For short-term traders: If prices re-visit support at USD 555 entering and targeting the USD 590 area may be a good option for a short-term trade.

For long-term and medium-term traders: As prices aren’t clearly trending up, it’s best to wait at the sidelines and wait for more signals.

 

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis (BTC/USD): Flat trade returns as BTC settles into $580 range

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-technical-analysis-btcusd-flat-trade-returns-as-btc-settles-into-580-range/

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Bitcoin Outlook- August 4, 2014
http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-technical-analysis/2014/08/Bitcoin-Outlook-August-4-2014/33487?utm_expid=3673405-3.Srt7y3QJQ6atzdfM5cbOIg.0
 

The current scenario does not provide good risk/reward opportunities and hence, traders should adopt a wait and watch strategy to enter a trade at lucrative levels. Long positions can be built near 550-560 levels for a target of 590 by placing a closing basis stop-loss just below 540. Short positions can be added near the major resistance at around 605-610 for a target of 580 by placing a closing basis stop-loss north of 610.

Bitcoin Outlook- August 5, 2014
http://www.dailyforex.com/forex-technical-analysis/2014/08/Bitcoin-Outlook-August-5-2014/33501?utm_expid=3673405-3.Srt7y3QJQ6atzdfM5cbOIg.0&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailyforex.com%2Fforex-technical-analysis%2Fbitcoin-forecast%2Fpage-1
 

As per Andrews Pitchfork, BTC/USD has very good support at levels of $543 whereas the resistance for the BTC/USD comes at around $610 which is also the downward sloping trend line and also the upper band range of the triangle. The momentum indicator for the BTC/USD has been in a downward momentum proving that every bounce from lower levels has been sold into by traders. The relative strength index for the BTC/USD has formed a lower high which is a bearish sign.

For long traders the support level should come at around $562 which if broken can see the digital currency fall to levels of $525 in the near term. Short traders should keep a strict stop loss at levels of $612; any break above this level can see the BTC/USD rally to levels of $660 in the very near term.

Bitcoin prices remain below $600 amid bearish chart signals
http://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/bitcoin-prices-remain-below-$600-amid-bearish-chart-signals-300831
 

Bitcoin prices declined on Tuesday to remain below the key $600-level as market participants were hesitant to buy into the market amid bearish chart signals.

Sentiment remained shaky as a wave of technical selling kicked last week after prices dropped below key support levels, triggering fresh sell orders amid bearish chart signals

 

Bearbeitet 5. August 2014 von segeln

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Bitcoin Price Strong Move Possible

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article46770.html

 

 

 

summing up, in our opinion long speculative positions might be the way to go now.

Trading position (short-term, our opinion): long, stop-loss at $550, take-profit at $880.

 

[Eddi]

@ segeln

 

Neuerdings gehen auch Bilder und da Du ja Bildrechte hast, warte ich auf eine Chartanalyse mit Bild. *wart*, ... , *wart*, ...

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Bitcoin Monthly Technical Analysis Courtesy of EddieTofpik, ADM Investor Services

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-monthly-technical-analysis-courtesy-of-eddietofpik-adm-investor-services/

 

@Eddi

 

bessere Chartbilder kommen,leider ist der Chart im obigen Artikel nicht so gut zu lesen.Siehe selbst:

Bearbeitet 10. August 2014 von segeln

[Eddi]

Das ist aber jetzt der Schnittbogen aus einer Modezeitschrift, oder?

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Das ist aber jetzt der Schnittbogen aus einer Modezeitschrift, oder?

ja,so sieht es aus. Man kann die MA so schlecht erkennen.

Hier was neues für Dich und maxmuster:

[maxmuster]

Du willst doch nicht sagen, dass es bei mir so aussieht.

Bei mir geht es ausschließlich nur um die Suche nach der Exponentialfunktion. Und den Weg gebe ich nicht vor, im Gegenteil meine Linien passen sich beim durchbrechen, wieder dem Kurs an.

Damit euch nicht langweilig wird, meine aktualisierte Prognose für den Silvester:http://img5.fotos-hochladen.net/uploads/btc9augst140l8watkipe.jpg 850 $ - 5000 $

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^{Bitcoin Price Analysis – Last Leg Down to Where?}

^{http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/bitcoin-price-analysis-last-leg/2014/08/11}

 

 

^{Elliott Wave Analyse}

 

Bearbeitet 13. August 2014 von segeln

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Bitcoin Trading : BTC/USD Technical Analysis – 11th August 2014

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-trading-btcusd-technical-analysis-11th-august-2014/

Since the beginning of this month then, we’ve seen price rise and test the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 590 on two occasions, marked in white, resulting in a narrow band of trading. If, price does manage to rise again this week, I maintain that 38.2% will hold firm once again.

 

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Has The Bitcoin Trading Bubble Burst?
http://www.investing.com/analysis/has-the-bitcoin-trading-bubble-burst-222420
 

The important hourly support levels are at $558.76, $549.84 and $540.97, whereas the hourly resistance levels are at $579.27, $599.83 and $600.45. The hourly chart is shown below.

The Bollinger® bands indicate that the price should increase slightly, as the price action has been limited to the lower band and should increase towards the upper band eventually. The relative strength index at this timeframe also indicates the current downward trend is not a strong one. The stochastics have moved out and back into the oversold zone. When the stochastic surpasses 30 again, a rise is expected in the price as the market corrects the oversold conditions.

 

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Bitcoin tumbles to 2-month low as sentiment remains shaky

http://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/bitcoin-tumbles-to-2-month-low-as-sentiment-remains-shaky-303094

 

 

Market sentiment weakened after the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued a lengthy set of risks that virtual currencies pose to consumers on August 11.

In issuing an advisory warning, the agency noted that the currencies are not backed by the government, have volatile exchanges rates and are targeted by hackers and scammers.

"Consumers are stepping into the Wild West," CFPB Director Richard Cordray said in a Statement.

 

 

 

 

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The Bitcoin Price is Crumbling – Why?

http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/news/bitcoin-price-crumbling/2014/08/13

 

 

People that trade bitcoins on a regular basis, either by day trading, bots, or going long, tend to follow the different analysis and inputs which in the end makes the price move. If the price falls below a so-called “support level”, more people may sell their bitcoins because they fear it may fall even lower. Bots however, that are made by humans with fear, got a “stop-loss” mechanism that tells them to start selling bitcoins if the price falls below a certain level.

 

The big Merchants and Bitcoin Payment Processors

Most merchants that accepts Bitcoin like Dell, Expedia, Overstock, and so on, immediately sells their bitcoins to receive the correct amount in USD instead. This can cause a downward sell pressure that will make the price fall if the buying capacity is below the selling capacity.

 

 

 

 

 

Uncertainty of where Bitcoin is heading

The Bitcoin price was quite stable in July with little price movement even though most news were positive. The only news that inflicted damage, if it did, was the “hard” NYDFS proposed BitLicense. A proposal to regulate Bitcoin and Bitcoin affiliated companies. But was this news really damaging, or in the end, something that could attract even more users and businesses? Does people in the Bitcoin community fear regulation?

 

 

 

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Bitcoin Trading- BTC/USD Technical Analysis, Aug 14: Support Broken, Declines to $521

http://dcmagnates.com/bitcoin-trading-btcusd-technical-analysis-aug-14-support-broken-declines-to-521/

The relatively steep drop over the past 48h has sent BTC deep below its 200-day moving average, still catching up to the drop and worth $570. The pair now trades at an 8% discount to this mark, the greatest divergence since a major correction to its May rally following a 51% threat.

Between current prices and $450, there really isn’t any support- the May rally propelled BTC/USD up to highs near $670 nearly unimpeded, save for the aforementioned $550 support level which has already been broken. Further declines to below $500 are a real possibility during the next 7-10 days, and there’s no guarantee of a significant swing opportunity during the next 72h.

 

Chart-Bild nicht wichtig im Moment

 

 

Bitcoin plunges to 3-month low, further losses seen ahead

http://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/bitcoin-plunges-to-3-month-low,-further-losses-seen-ahead-303369

 

Bitcoin prices were likely to find support at $492.65, the low from May 22, and resistance at $590.99, the high from August 11.

 

Bearbeitet 14. August 2014 von segeln

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Bitcoin market update, 8/15/2014.

http://www.ibankbitcoins.com/btc/bitcoin-market-update-8152014

Looks like we reached new lows on ok,huobi and stamp overnight, we consolidated yesterday for a while before heading lower. I am still confident from my post yesterday that we will hit around 450 target. Large usd swaps closing confirms this down move overnight.

On the bullish end, we are very oversold. I don't use indicators, but I bet every one of them is at like 0%. Sentiment on these forums are groom and doom. A bounce is due, but nobody knows when. Even if we do bounce, it may be short lived. That is the nature of bounces, not a trend reversal. Be careful. No signatures folks.